58 17 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
798 84 Strength Momentum |
1028 39.5(59) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | La Cueva | 0.000 | 1305 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-3) | 632 | 3% | |
08/26/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.000 | 1350 | L 0- 8 | Expected (-2) | 674 | 2% | |
08/29/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1315 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 527 | 3% | |
09/01/15 | at West Mesa | 0.001 | 1156 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 937 | 7% | |
09/03/15 | Rio Grande | 0.001 | 943 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 710 | 30% | |
09/12/15 | Piedra Vista !! | 0.006 | 801 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+3) | 940 | 53% | |
09/15/15 | at Valencia | 0.004 | 1075 | L 1- 8 | Expected (-4) | 590 | 11% | |
09/17/15 | Moriarty | 0.014 | 981 | L 1- 3 | Expected (0) | 780 | 24% | |
09/19/15 | Los Lunas ? | 0.002 | 931 | L 1-10 | Expected (-8) | 390 | 31% | |
09/23/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.041 | 884 | T 2- 2 | Better (+1) | 851 | 32% | |
09/26/15 | at Hope Christian | 0.027 | 1088 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 648 | 10% | |
09/29/15 | at Capital | 0.028 | 961 | L 0- 7 | Expected (-5) | 532 | 22% | |
10/01/15 | at West Mesa | 0.082 | 1156 | L 0- 4 | Expected (0) | 785 | 7% | |
10/06/15 | Los Alamos | 0.121 | 1300 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 838 | 4% | |
10/10/15 | Bernalillo ?? | 0.136 | 884 | L 2- 7 | Expected (-4) | 579 | 38% | |
10/17/15 | Capital | 0.302 | 961 | L 2- 6 | Expected (-3) | 668 | 27% | |
10/22/15 | at Manzano | 0.661 | 915 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 816 | 27% | |
10/24/15 | Los Alamos | 0.444 | 1300 | L 0- 4 | Expected (+1) | 838 | 4% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1028, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 774
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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